{"id":1377676,"date":"2017-05-09T07:29:32","date_gmt":"2017-05-09T05:29:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www2.realat.lv\/lv\/?p=1377676"},"modified":"2017-05-09T07:29:32","modified_gmt":"2017-05-09T05:29:32","slug":"turpmakie-tris-gadi-bus-patikami-ar-uzraviena-potencialu-nekustamo-ipasumu-joma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www2.realat.lv\/lv\/zina\/turpmakie-tris-gadi-bus-patikami-ar-uzraviena-potencialu-nekustamo-ipasumu-joma\/","title":{"rendered":"Turpm\u0101kie tr\u012bs gadi b\u016bs pat\u012bkami, ar \u201euzr\u0101viena\u201d potenci\u0101lu nekustamo \u012bpa\u0161umu jom\u0101"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u0160is un turpm\u0101kie divi gadi b\u016bs \u013coti pat\u012bkami, priek\u0161\u0101 ir gaisma, bet j\u0101uzman\u0101s, jo t\u0101 var ar\u012b ap\u017eilbin\u0101t,\u201d t\u0101du uzskatu par ekonomikas un N\u012a jomas turpm\u0101ko att\u012bst\u012bbu 31. mart\u0101 notiku\u0161aj\u0101 ikgad\u0113j\u0101 konferenc\u0113 \u201eK\u0101 att\u012bst\u012bsies nekustam\u0101 \u012bpa\u0161uma tirgus Latvij\u0101?\u201d pauda DNB bankas makroekonomikas eksperts P\u0113teris Strauti\u0146\u0161. Lai ar\u012b kredit\u0113\u0161ana ir s\u0101kusi augt, t\u0101 pagaid\u0101m aug l\u0113n\u0101k nek\u0101 uzkr\u0101jumi. T\u0101tad nekustam\u0101 \u012bpa\u0161uma tirgus att\u012bst\u012bbu var veicin\u0101t gan kredit\u0113\u0161anas pieaugums l\u012bdz ilgtsp\u0113j\u012bgam l\u012bmenim, gan papildus naudas iepl\u016b\u0161ana ekonomik\u0101 no augo\u0161\u0101 eksporta.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201eCerams, ka att\u012bst\u012bbas \u201euzr\u0101viens\u201d b\u016bs pr\u0101t\u012bg\u0101ks, turpin\u0101sies daudz ilg\u0101k un tas neb\u016bs k\u0101 benz\u012bns, kas uzliets m\u0101jai: uzliesmo un visu noposta, bet gan b\u016bs k\u0101 svece, kas l\u0113n\u0101m silda telpu daudzu gadu desmitu garum\u0101,\u201d ar \u0161\u0101du sal\u012bdzin\u0101jumu savu uzst\u0101\u0161anos konferenc\u0113 s\u0101ka DNB bankas makroekonomikas eksperts P\u0113teris Strauti\u0146\u0161, kur\u0161 savu prezent\u0101ciju bija nosaucis: \u201eIesp\u0113jas ir tuvu, riski ir t\u0101lu (pagaid\u0101m)\u201d.<\/p>\n

N\u012a tirg\u016b\u00a0 v\u0113stur\u0113 ir f\u0101zes, kad nauda no finan\u0161u sist\u0113mas iepl\u016bst ekonomik\u0101 un pret\u0113j\u0101s f\u0101zes, skaidroja eksperts, sakot, ka nesen\u0101s Latvijas v\u0113stures kontekst\u0101 notieko\u0161o var saukt par \u201eanti-burbuli\u201d.\u00a0 Uzkr\u0101jumi aug strauj\u0101k nek\u0101 kred\u012bti (lai gan \u0161obr\u012bd kred\u012btportfelis s\u0101cis augt uz\u0146\u0113mumiem, ar\u012b m\u0101jsaimniec\u012bb\u0101m). Tas noz\u012bm\u0113, ka N\u012a tirg\u016b v\u0113l arvien ir \u201euzr\u0101viena\u201d potenci\u0101ls, un tas signaliz\u0113, ka cenas liel\u0101kajai da\u013cai ir m\u0113renas, ar pieauguma potenci\u0101lu. Ir biju\u0161i ar\u012b pavisam neseni lok\u0101li \u201cp\u0101rsp\u012bl\u0113jumi\u201d, saist\u012bti ar nerezidentu ietekmi tirg\u016b, bet \u0161\u012b ietekme ir gandr\u012bz izzudusi. Turpm\u0101k noteico\u0161ais tirg\u016b b\u016bs viet\u0113jais klients. \u0160aj\u0101 br\u012bd\u012b par n\u0101kamo kr\u012bzi run\u0101t ir nedaudz joc\u012bgi, bet n\u0101kotnes riski ir j\u0101patur pr\u0101t\u0101\u201d.<\/p>\n

Run\u0101jot par ien\u0101kumiem, P. Strauti\u0146\u0161 bija p\u0101rliecin\u0101ts, ka algas turpm\u0101k noteikti augs, n\u0101ksies maks\u0101t vair\u0101k, jo darbiniekus vajadz\u0113s. P. Strauti\u0146\u0161 prognoz\u0113ja, ka tuv\u0101kaj\u0101 laik\u0101 strauj\u0101k augs b\u016bvniec\u012bbas sektors, bet t\u0101 \u012bpatsvars ekonomik\u0101 nesasniegs \u201etrekno gadu\u201d l\u012bmeni. Tas, kas p\u0113rnajos datos atspogu\u013cojas ar l\u0113n\u0101ku izaugsmi, bet \u0161ogad piesl\u0113dzas ar lielu jaudu (\u201eja to v\u0113l nej\u016bt tirg\u016b, tad noteikti sajut\u012bs\u201d) – tas ir valsts finans\u0113jums invest\u012bcij\u0101m. \u201eMums invest\u012bciju\/IKP attiec\u012bba Latvij\u0101 kop\u0161 1999. gada ir bijusi virs vid\u0113j\u0101 ES r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ja, 2010. un 2016. gads bija iz\u0146\u0113mumi. Invest\u012bciju pieaugums N\u012a nozari ietekm\u0113s gan tie\u0161i, gan netie\u0161i \u2014 caur alg\u0101m, darbaviet\u0101m: noska\u0146ojumu, pat\u0113ri\u0146u, darbaviet\u0101m utt.,\u201d dom\u0101 eksperts.<\/p>\n

P.Strauti\u0146\u0161 lielu v\u0113r\u012bbu v\u0113rsa uz nozar\u0113m, kas saist\u012btas ar pakalpojumu eksportu, kas p\u0113d\u0113jo 16 gadu laik\u0101 audzis eksploz\u012bvi strauji. \u201eLai gan ekonomika un eksports kopum\u0101 audzis strauji, bet tie\u0161i pakalpojumu eksports audzis strauj\u0101k nek\u0101 pre\u010du eksports. Piem\u0113ram, liel\u0101k\u0101s \u0161\u012b sektora poz\u012bcijas: biznesa \u0101rpakalpojumi kop\u0161 2000. gada \u2013 izaugsme 15 reizes, t\u016brismam un IT pakalpojumiem \u2013 20 reizes. P\u0113rn \u0161aj\u0101 sektor\u0101 vien kl\u0101t iepl\u016bdu\u0161i 300 miljoni eiro, t.i., nozar\u0113s, kas maks\u0101 \u013coti labas algas (krietni virs vid\u0113jiem skait\u013ciem), un kur\u0101s vair\u0101k nek\u0101 90% pievienot\u0101s v\u0113rt\u012bbas tiek rad\u012bta R\u012bg\u0101 vai tuv\u0113j\u0101 Pier\u012bg\u0101. Nav paz\u012bmju, ka \u0161\u012b dinamika v\u0101jin\u0101sies turpm\u0101k,\u201d piebilda eksperts.<\/p>\n

Nav \u0161aubu, Lietuv\u0101 biznesa \u0101rpakalpojumu eksports ir audzis strauj\u0101k nek\u0101 citviet Baltij\u0101. Ta\u010du nav \u0161aubu, ka R\u012bga ir un b\u016bs Baltijas liel\u0101k\u0101 pils\u0113ta, apl\u016bkojot visu gan pils\u0113tu administrat\u012bvaj\u0101s robe\u017e\u0101s, gan visu aglomer\u0101ciju. Gan iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju, gan darbavietu skaits R\u012bg\u0101 ir p\u0101rliecino\u0161i, apm\u0113ram par tre\u0161da\u013cu liel\u0101ks un dinamika ir \u013coti l\u012bdz\u012bga, nav paz\u012bmju, ka Vi\u013c\u0146a n\u0101kotn\u0113 var\u0113tu apdz\u012bt R\u012bgu.<\/p>\n

\u00a0\u201eP\u0113c pag\u0101ju\u0161\u0101 gada vaimanolo\u0123ijas par \u201e\u0161ausm\u012bgo kr\u012bzes gadu\u201d R\u012bg\u0101 un t\u0101s re\u0123ion\u0101 aiz\u0146emto darbvietu skaits priv\u0101taj\u0101 sektor\u0101 audzis par 2%,\u201d piebilda P. Strauti\u0146\u0161. Eksperts ar\u012b ieteica saglab\u0101t v\u0113su galvu un nomierin\u0101ties, run\u0101jot par demogr\u0101fiju. \u201eGalvenais ir ekonomikas pievilc\u012bba, tas ir kaut kas daudz vair\u0101k nek\u0101 ien\u0101kumu l\u012bmenis. Ja augs ekonomika, augs ar\u012b iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju skaits. Piem\u0113rs tam ir Singap\u016bra, kur dzimst\u012bba ir katastrof\u0101li zema, bet neizskat\u0101s, ka t\u0101p\u0113c Singap\u016bra izmirst,\u201d skaidroja eksperts, pau\u017eot uzskatu, ka 2017. – 2019. gada izaugsmes izr\u0101viens visdr\u012bz\u0101k \u201eievilks\u201d migr\u0101cijas bilanci plusos.<\/p>\n

\u0160is un turpm\u0101kie divi gadi b\u016bs \u013coti pat\u012bkami, – atz\u012bm\u0113ja eksperts. Run\u0101jot par riskiem t\u0101l\u0101k\u0101 n\u0101kotn\u0113 (apm\u0113ram p\u0113c 2020.gada), P. Strauti\u0146\u0161 nor\u0101d\u012bja, ka b\u016btu j\u0101aizmirst par \u201ekr\u012bzi p\u0113c ES fondu beig\u0161an\u0101s\u201d, kas esot piln\u012bgas mu\u013c\u0137\u012bbas, jo \u201efondi nebeigsies, un, pat, ja beigsies, kr\u012bzes neb\u016bs\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u00a0\u201eSvar\u012bgi ir ne tikai ES fondi, bet ar\u012b kredit\u0113\u0161ana, neline\u0101ri procesi eksporta sektor\u0101. Liel\u0101kais risks ir nesp\u0113ja izmantot iesp\u0113jas, jo kr\u012b\u017eu p\u0101rvar\u0113\u0161an\u0101 (un rad\u012b\u0161an\u0101) esam meistari,\u201d uzskata makroekonomikas eksperts. Vi\u0146\u0161 dom\u0101, ka ekonomikas p\u0101rkar\u0161anu var \u201esakombin\u0113t\u201d \u0161\u0101di faktori: n\u0101kamais hipo kredit\u0113\u0161anas cikls s\u0101kas no \u013coti zemu m\u0101jsaimniec\u012bbu par\u0101dsaist\u012bbu punkta; 2017.-2019. gad\u0101 daudz b\u016bv\u0113s sabiedrisk\u0101s \u0113kas, t\u0101tad b\u016bs ierobe\u017eoti resursi m\u0101jok\u013ciem, un, ja reiz m\u0101jok\u013cu tirgus cikls ir \u201eie\u0161\u016bpots\u201d, tas k\u0101du laiku var it k\u0101 dz\u012bvot savu dz\u012bvi (un nevajadz\u0113tu aizmirst ar\u012b par megaprojektu Rail Baltica).\u00a0 \u201eT\u0101p\u0113c es tie\u0161\u0101m ba\u017e\u012bjos, kas notiks p\u0113c 2020. gada. \u0160ampanie\u0161a pudele tiks krat\u012bta, un kaut k\u0101d\u0101 br\u012bd\u012b t\u0101 iz\u0161aus \u0101r\u0101, bet kad un k\u0101 tas notiks, ir gr\u016bti prognoz\u0113t, t\u0101p\u0113c ir diezgan liels \u201ejautr\u012bbas potenci\u0101ls\u201d, un no t\u0101 b\u016btu j\u0101uzman\u0101s. Ta\u010du kr\u012bzes riskiem nav nek\u0101da sakara ar ES fondiem. No makroekonomisk\u0101 viedok\u013ca visdr\u012bz\u0101k b\u016btu apsveicami, ja tie beigtos. Rezum\u0113jot: priek\u0161\u0101 ir gaisma, bet j\u0101uzman\u0101s, jo t\u0101 var ar\u012b ap\u017eilbin\u0101t,\u201d savu uzst\u0101\u0161anos pabeidza P. Strauti\u0146\u0161.<\/p>\n

Ikgad\u0113j\u0101 Latvijas nekustamo \u012bpa\u0161umu dar\u012bjumu asoci\u0101cijas (LAN\u012aDA) organiz\u0113t\u0101 konference \u201eK\u0101 att\u012bst\u012bsies nekustam\u0101 \u012bpa\u0161uma tirgus Latvij\u0101?\u201d ir k\u013cuvusi \u013coti iecien\u012bta N\u012a nozares profesion\u0101\u013cu vid\u016b, kur vienkopus satiekas ap 200 interesentu un kur var uzzin\u0101t visu aktu\u0101lo inform\u0101ciju par noris\u0113m nozar\u0113, atkl\u0101t lab\u0101ko pieredzi un iez\u012bm\u0113t iesp\u0113jamos n\u0101kotnes att\u012bst\u012bbas scen\u0101rijus, k\u0101 ar\u012b socializ\u0113ties un neform\u0101l\u0101 gaisotn\u0113 tikties ar kol\u0113\u0123iem. \u0160ogad LAN\u012aDA \u0161o konferenci organiz\u0113ja sadarb\u012bb\u0101 ar DNB banku.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0160is un turpm\u0101kie divi gadi b\u016bs \u013coti pat\u012bkami, priek\u0161\u0101 ir gaisma, bet j\u0101uzman\u0101s, jo t\u0101 var ar\u012b ap\u017eilbin\u0101t,\u201d t\u0101du uzskatu par ekonomikas un N\u012a jomas turpm\u0101ko att\u012bst\u012bbu 31. mart\u0101 notiku\u0161aj\u0101… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1377677,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1377676","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-zina"],"yoast_head":"\nTurpm\u0101kie tr\u012bs gadi b\u016bs pat\u012bkami, ar \u201euzr\u0101viena\u201d potenci\u0101lu nekustamo \u012bpa\u0161umu jom\u0101 - REALAT.lv<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Turpm\u0101kie tr\u012bs gadi b\u016bs pat\u012bkami, ar \u201euzr\u0101viena\u201d potenci\u0101lu nekustamo \u012bpa\u0161umu jom\u0101 - 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